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When this poll was taken by the Centre of Public Opinion in June 1945, some three weeks before the General Election, Churchill must have thought he was home and dry, so far ahead of his Labour rival, Clement Attlee, did he seem to be. But opinions polls can be misleading things, and when the actual result of the election was declared, on 26 July (there had been a three-week delay between the actual polling day and the announcement of the result, to give the forces serving overseas time to vote), Attlee had won by a landslide. Churchill, the great wartime leader, was Prime Minister no longer.
Reference: Churchill Papers, CHAR 2/548/218